Market Outlook & Predictions

Pre-Owned Luxury Watches: How Market Shifts and Tariffs Are Affecting Value

The luxury watch market is quietly changing under the surface. Rising retail prices, tariffs, and global cost pressures are reshaping how buyers think about new versus pre-owned watches. In 2026, the secondary market is increasingly acting as a shock absorber — and in many cases, a smarter entry point for serious buyers.

Best for: Buyers, sellers, and market watchers
Focus: Pricing pressure, supply, and value movement
Signal: Pre-owned is becoming the stability layer of the market

This guide explains how tariffs and rising retail prices are changing buying behavior, why pre-owned pricing is behaving differently from new, and what this means for collectors and resellers navigating the 2026 market.

Why new watch prices keep climbing

Over the past few years, retail prices from major brands have moved in one direction: up. Between higher production costs, currency shifts, logistics, and brand repositioning, the entry point for many flagship models is meaningfully higher than it was even a short time ago.

For many buyers, this has quietly changed the mental math of “new versus pre-owned.”

Instead of asking whether they prefer new, buyers are increasingly asking whether the premium still makes sense. That question alone is reshaping demand across the entire market.

What tariffs mean for new vs pre-owned

Tariffs and import costs mostly hit one side of the market: new watches. When retail prices rise due to external pressures, pre-owned inventory does not reprice in real time the same way.

This creates temporary — and sometimes lasting — gaps between new and secondary pricing.

In practice, this means pre-owned often becomes the value reference point rather than the discount bin. Buyers compare everything to secondary prices first, not retail.

Which brands benefit most from these shifts

Not all brands respond the same way to market pressure. The strongest beneficiaries tend to be brands with deep liquidity and global recognition.

Rolex
High demand and strong model recognition keep prices resilient even when new retail moves.
Patek Philippe
Scarcity and long waitlists push buyers straight to the secondary market.
Cartier
Growing mainstream demand has made pre-owned an easy entry point.
Omega
Large catalog and strong icons create a very active secondary ecosystem.

These brands tend to see smoother price behavior in the secondary market compared to smaller or trend-driven names.

How the secondary market absorbs market shocks

The pre-owned market behaves differently from retail. Prices move, but they usually move more slowly and more selectively. That makes it less reactive to sudden policy or cost changes.

In many ways, the secondary market acts like a buffer layer.

This is why during periods of uncertainty, trading activity often shifts toward pre-owned rather than disappearing altogether.

How to think about timing and value in 2026

In 2026, buyers should think in relative value, not just sticker price. The real comparison is between what a watch costs new and what the same watch costs in the secondary market.

For sellers, timing inventory and understanding brand cycles matters more than ever.

The opportunity is not in guessing the market — it is in understanding where value is already being anchored by real transactions.

FAQ

1) Do tariffs directly affect pre-owned watch prices?

Not directly. Tariffs usually impact new retail prices first, which can indirectly increase demand for pre-owned pieces.

2) Is pre-owned safer than buying new in uncertain markets?

Often, yes. Pre-owned prices tend to move more slowly and are anchored to real transactions rather than list prices.

3) Which brands hold up best during market shifts?

Brands with strong global demand like Rolex, Patek Philippe, Cartier, and Omega usually remain the most stable.